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Gold stays near 2-1/2-month high as risk

IDEALSTOCK|Gold touched $1,233.26 on Monday, its highest since July 26, as global stocks slid on rising tensions between Western powers and Saudi Arabia and concerns over the pace of global economic growth. Asian stocks  market rose modestly on Tuesday, gaining a firmer footing after a week of heavy losses.

Gold prices held steady on Tuesday near the last session’s 2-1/2-month high as risk-averse investors sought refuge in the metal amid rising political tensions and economic uncertainty

Spot gold was little changed at $1,226.11 an ounce at 0353 GMT.

Gold touched $1,233.26 on Monday, its highest since July 26, as global stocks market  slid on rising tensions between Western powers and Saudi Arabia and concerns over the pace of global economic growth. Asian stocks market rose modestly on Tuesday, gaining a firmer footing after a week of heavy losses.

While the sell-off in stocks rekindled some demand, there were other key factors in play. With escalating trade tensions, concerns over slowing global growth, geopolitical tensions and U.S. mid-term election jitters in the mix, gold has a chance to shine,” .

While the risk-off trading environment is poised to send gold higher in the near term, the medium- to longer-term outlook remains dictated by the dollar and U.S. rate hike expectations.

इन 5 शेयरों में नजर आ रहा है दम, कीमतें भी हैं कम

IDEAL STOCK | प्रमुख index अपने सर्वोच्च स्तर से करीब 12 फीसदी तक नीचे खिसक आए हैं. मिडकैप और स्मॉलकैप इंडेक्स पर भी मंदड़ियों का ही बोलबाला है. सिंतबर महीने के दौरान कई मिडकैप शेयरों की कीमतें 10 से 65 फीसदी तक घट गईं.

इसी तरह की पिटाई स्मॉलकैप शेयरों की भी हुई. कुछ स्मॉलकैप शेयरों ने 75 फीसदी तक का गोता लगाया. हालांकि, बाजार की इस गिरावट ने कई महंगे शेयरों को वैल्यूएशन के आधार पर किफायती बना दिया है. हम आपको ऐसे ही पांच शेयरों के बारे में बताने जा रहे हैं, जिनके दाम कम हैं, मगर इनमें काफी दम दिख रहा है:

 एक्सिस बैंक
मौजूदा कीमत: 589.35 रुपये
सितंबर में बदलाव: -14.86 फीसदी
औसत टार्गेट प्राइस: 630.78 रुपये

एक्सिस बैंक का रेवेन्यू और परिचालन मुनाफा क्रमश: 19 फीसदी और 20 फीसदी की दर से बढ़ेगा. सोफत ने कहा, “वित्त वर्ष 2020 में कर्ज लागत कम होगी. बैंक की एसेट क्वालिटी मजबूत है. बैंक के पास उच्च स्तरीय के कॉर्पोरेट खाते हैं.”

FREE INTRADAY CASH LEVEL :- BUY JETAIRWAYS ABOVE 198 TARGET 207 WITH SL 193

बजाज फाइनेंस
मौजूदा कीमत: 2,266.05 रुपये
सितंबर में बदलाव: -27.89 फीसदी
औसत टार्गेट प्राइस: 2,519.40 रुपये

मौजूदा चुनौतीपूर्ण माहौल में बजाज फाइनेंस एक मजबूत एनबीएफसी है. पहले यह शेयर महंगा था. मगर, अब इसकी वैल्यूएशन किफायती है. रिलायंस सिक्योरिटीज के रिसर्च प्रमुख नवीन कुलकर्णी ने कहा, “एनबीएफसी सेक्टर में बजाज फाइनेंस सबसे बेहतर विकल्प है.”

FREE INTRADAY FUTURE LEVEL:- BUY ARVIND FUTURE ABOVE 321 TGT 327 SL 316

जुबिलंट फूडवर्क्स
मौजूदा कीमत: 1,191.70 रुपये
सितंबर में बदलाव: -25.6 फीसदी
औसत टार्गेट प्राइस: 1,528.03 रुपये

जुबिलंट एक अच्छा शेयर है और इसकी वैल्यूएशन भी काफी कम हो गई है. कुलकर्णी ने कहा, “दूसरी तिमाही में कंपनी से कमाई में 40 फीसदी और रेवेन्यू में 19 फीसदी ग्रोथ की उम्मीद है.” फिलिप कैपिटल भी इस शेयर के प्रति आश्वस्त है.

FREE INTRADAY OPTION LEVEL:- BUY ACC 1400 PUT OPTION ABOVE 52 TARGET 64 SL 44

टाइटन कंपनी
मौजूदा कीमत: 787.85 रुपये
सितंबर में बदलाव: -15.76 फीसदी
औसत टार्गेट प्राइस: 1,020.32 रुपये

“कंपनी को संगठित क्षेत्र में बढ़ी दिलचस्पी का खास लाभ मिल रहा है. इसका असर शेयरों में आई तेजी से भी दिखता है. सोने की कीमतें और कंपनी प्रबंधन की भूमिका अहम होगी.”

 

FREE INTRADAY FUTURE LEVEL:- BUY ENGINERSIN FUTURE  ABOVE 112.30 TARGET 116.80 WITH SL 109.80

आईटीसी
मौजूदा कीमत: 270.05 रुपये
सितंबर में बदलाव: -15.87 फीसदी
औसत टार्गेट प्राइस: 344.44 रुपये

आईटीसी की बैलेंस शीट के चलते इसका पक्ष ले रहे हैं. कंपनी का गैर-तंबाकू कारोबार बढ़ रहा है. “हम वित्त वर्ष 19 की दूसरी तिमाही में कंपनी से ठोस नतीजों की उम्मीद कर रहे हैं. कंपनी के एफएमसीजी कारोबार से अच्छी उम्मीद है.”

स्टॉक मार्किट में सही सुझाव प्राप्त करने के लिए यहाँ क्लिक करे :- Good advice for your investment

5 reasons for getting lose in market

It’s Not Just Trading, It’s A War Between The Market And Us.

Trading during the first half-hour of the session.

The first half-hour of the trading day is driven by emotion, affected by overnight movements in the global markets, and hangover of the previous day’s trading. Also, this is the period used by the market to entice novice traders into taking a position which might be contrary to the real trend which emerges only later in the day. Most experienced traders simply watch the markets for the first half of the day for intraday patterns and any subsequent trading breakouts.

Failing to hear the market’s message.

Personally, I try to hear the message of the stock markets and then try to confirm it with the charts. During the trading day, I like to watch if the market is able to hold certain levels or not. I like to go long around the end of the day if supported by patterns, and if the prices are consistently holding on to higher levels. I like to go short if the market is giving up higher levels, unable to sustain them and the patterns support a down move of the market. This technique is called tape watching and all full-time traders practice it in some shape or form. If the markets are choppy and oscillate within a small range, then the market’s message is to keep out. Hearing the message of the market can be particularly important in times of significant news. The market generally reacts in a fashion contrary to most peoples’ expectation. Let us consider two recent Indian events of significance. One was the Gujarat earthquake that took place on 26 January 2001 and the other the 13 December 2001 terrorist attack on the Indian parliament. Both these events appeared catastrophic at first glance. TV channels suggested that the earthquake would devastate the country’s economy because Gujarat has the largest number of investors and their confidence would be shattered, making the stock market plunge. Tragic as both the events were, the market reacted in a different way to each by the end of the day. In both cases the markets plunged around 170 points when it opened, in both cases it tried to recover and while it managed a full recovery in the case of the Gujarat earthquake, it could not do so in the Parliament attack case. The market was proven correct on both counts. The Gujarat earthquake actually held the possibility of boosting the economy as reconstruction had to be taken up, and also because most of the big installations, including the Jamnagar Refinery, escaped damage. In the case of the attack on parliament, although traders assessed that terrorist attacks were nothing new in the country the market did not recover because it could see some kind of military build-up ahead from both India and Pakistan. And markets hate war

and uncertainty. In both these cases what helped the cause of the traders were the charts. If the charts say that the market is acting in a certain way, go ahead and accept it. The market is right all the time. This is probably even truer than the more common wisdom about the customer being the king. If you can accept the market as king, you will end up as a very rich trader, indeed. Herein lies one reason why people who think they are very educated and smart often get trashed by the market because this market doesn’t care who you are and it’s certainly not there to help you. So expect no mercy from it; in fact, think of it as something that is there to take away your money, unless you take steps to protect yourself.

Ignoring which phase the market is in

It is important to know what phase the market is in — whether it’s in a trending or a trading phase. In a trending phase, you go and buy/sell breakouts, but in a trading phase you buy weakness and sell strength. Traders who do not understand the mood of the market often end up using the wrong indicators in the wrong market conditions. This is an area where humility comes in. Trading in the market is like a blind man walking with the help of a stick. You need to be extremely flexible in changing positions and in trying to develop a feel for the market. This feel is then backed by the various technical indicators in confirming the phase of the market. Undisciplined traders, driven by their ego, often ignore the phase the market is in.

Failing to reduce position size when warranted

Traders should be flexible in reducing their position size whenever the market is not giving clear signals. For example, if you take an average position of 3,000 shares in Nifty futures, you should be ready to reduce it to 1,000 shares. This can happen either when trading counter trend or when the market is not displaying a strong trend. Your exposure to the market should depend on the market’s mood at any given point in the market. You should book partial profits as soon as the trade starts earning two to three times the average risk taken.

Failing to treat every trade as just another trade

Undisciplined traders often think that a particular situation is sure to give profits and sometimes take risk several times their normal level. This can lead to a heavy drawdown as such situations often do not work out. Every trade is just another trade and only normal profits should be expected every time. Supernormal profits are a bonus when they — rarely! — occur but should not be expected. The risk should not be increased unless your account equity grows enough to service that risk.

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